Okey Dokey IT Bum !
From all the reports I've read in the last few hours, Chris Lambert's 5pm post on NBC-2.com sums it up: <start quote>
Bertha continues to be the only player around with winds of 50 mph and a continued westerly movement. As Bertha moves westbound over the next few days,
slightly warmer waters could provide for
slow strengthening of this system, perhaps giving it hurricane strength by Tuesday. Bertha
will encounter stronger upper-level wind sheer early next week which could either
slow further development
or prevent it, so that is something that will play against the warmer waters of the Atlantic.
By Thursday, computer models place this storm anywhere from the Southeast Bahamas to near Bermuda, so as we get 5 or 6 days out, there is still a lot of uncertainty there and plenty of time to watch it. If Bertha were to affect the US, it wouldnt be for
7 to 9 days, and of course at this point, that is a big IF.
<end quote>
Underlines added for emphasis by Bruce
A graphic file that spells it out as of July 6th:
July6Bertha
Oops... LLOYD HELP !! That graphics file is too long to be displayed properly, and I have forgotten how to make a LINK for it !!
So the concensus says wait 'till Wed and they'll have a better handle on what is predicted to be CAT I Hurricane Bertha.
Some tracks DO take it close to our area, so keep an eye on the forecasts, BUT she is still a lonnnng way's away.
YES... it IS time to prep the Hurricane Supplies
Bruce